Why weather forecasts suck

Why weather forecasts suck

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Why weather forecasts suck
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Find out how DeepMind is working to improve “nowcasting” – https://www.deepmind.com/blog/nowcasting-the-next-hour-of-rain – and learn more about their fellowship program – https:/ /www. deepmind.com/grants
There are two types of rain, and one of them is almost impossible to predict.

LEARN MORE
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To learn more about this topic, start your Google search with these keywords:
– Front: a boundary separating air masses of different characteristics, such as air density, wind, temperature and humidity.
– Frontal rain: occurs when a warm air mass comes into contact with a colder air mass
– Convective rain: occurs when energy from the sun heats the Earth's surface, causing water to evaporate to form water vapor.
– Nowcasting: weather forecast limited to periods of less than a few hours

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THE REFERENCES
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Ravuri, S., Lenc, K., Willson, M. et al. (2021) Precipitation nowcasting using deep generative radar models. Nature 597, 672-677. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03854-z

Simonin D, Pierce C, Roberts N, Ballard SP and Li Z (2017) Performance of the Met Office hourly cycle-based nowcast based on numerical weather prediction for precipitation forecasts. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143 (708): 2862-2873. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3136

Sun J, Xue M, Wilson JW, Zawadzki I, Ballard SP, Onvlee-Hooimeyer J, Joe P, Barker DM, Li P, Golding B, Xu M and Pinto J (2014). Using numerical weather prediction for convective precipitation nowcasting: recent advances and challenges, Bulletin of the American Mogenic Society, 95(3): 409-426. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00263.1

Weckwerth T, Parsons DB, Koch SE, Moore JA, Lemone MA et al. (2004). An overview of the international H2O project (IHOP_2002) and some preliminary highlights. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, American Mogenic Society 85 (2): 253 – 277. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-85-2-253

Wilson, JW and Roberts RD (2006). Summary of convective storm initiation and evolution during IHOP: observational and modeling perspectives, Monthly Weather Review, 134(1): 23-47. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR3069.1

Ye H, Fetzer EJ, Wong S and Lambrigtsen BH (2017). Decadal convective precipitation increased rapidly in Eurasia during the last three decades of the 20th century. Scientific Advances 3: e1600944. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1600944

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